Pair #6704

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1973

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2468

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:03:28Z

Reasoning: If Kim finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true (top 20 does not guarantee top 10).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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