Pair #6702

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1973

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MKIM

Will Michael Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 983889

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:03:28Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valero Texas Open are independent events. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4710
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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