Pair #6701

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HHAL

Will Harry Hall win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1036835

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-HHAL

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 319

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:03:28Z

Reasoning: If Hall wins the Masters, he has won a major in 2026. The reverse is not true as he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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