Pair #67

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAPLAYOFF-26-DEN

Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers Winner?

Series: KXNBAPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-18T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23009

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Denver is one of the Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNEXTTEAMNBA-26LJAM-DEN

What will be LeBron James's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNBA
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-10-23T14:00:00Z
Volume: 17875

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If LeBron James's next team is Denver before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:00:32Z

Reasoning: LeBron joining Denver does not necessitate Denver making the playoffs, and Denver making the playoffs does not require LeBron to join them. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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