Pair #6694

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KREI

Valero Texas Open: Will Kristoffer Reitan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3503

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-KREI

Will Kristoffer Reitan win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2424815

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kristoffer Reitan wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:03:12Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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