Pair #6680

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-HLI

Valero Texas Open: Will Hao-Tong Li finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 848

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-HLI

Valero Texas Open: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 636

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:02:53Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open requires having made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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