Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-HLI
Valero Texas Open: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 636
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HLI
Will Hao-Tong Li win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6135375
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Hao-Tong Li wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:02:53Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are entirely separate events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A