Pair #6678

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-HLI

Valero Texas Open: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 636

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HLI

Will Hao-Tong Li win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6135375

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hao-Tong Li wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:02:53Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are entirely separate events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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