Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JBRI
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 5694716
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jacob Bridgeman wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-JBRI
Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1335
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jacob Bridgeman wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:02:53Z
Reasoning: If Jacob Bridgeman wins the Masters, he has won a major in 2026, so the major win market must resolve Yes. The reverse is not true — he could win a different major.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0500
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A