Pair #6650

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-JSPI

Will Jordan Spieth lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 281

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JSPI

Valero Texas Open: Will Jordan Spieth make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5747

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:01:54Z

Reasoning: If Spieth leads at the end of Round 2, he has completed R2 and is at the top of the leaderboard, meaning he has necessarily made the cut (the cut is made after R2). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply leading after R2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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