Pair #6644

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-JSPI

Will Jordan Spieth lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 281

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JSPI

Masters Tournament: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 141398

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:01:54Z

Reasoning: These involve different tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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