Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-JSPI
Will Jordan Spieth lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 281
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jordan Spieth is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JSPI
Masters Tournament: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 141398
YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:01:54Z
Reasoning: These involve different tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A