Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JSPI
Masters Tournament: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 82409
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JSPI
Valero Texas Open: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 57514
YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:01:54Z
Reasoning: These are different tournaments entirely. No logical dependency in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0400
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A