Pair #6617

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-HMAT

Masters Tournament: Will Hideki Matsuyama finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hideki Matsuyama
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 41050

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hideki Matsuyama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-HMAT

Valero Texas Open: Will Hideki Matsuyama finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hideki Matsuyama
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19757

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hideki Matsuyama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:01:14Z

Reasoning: Different tournaments. A top 10 at Valero Texas Open has no logical necessity relationship with a top 10 at the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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