Pair #6600

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4158

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR04PEGJOV-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Pegula vs Jovic : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-04T18:00:00Z
Volume: 14557

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.6900
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Pegula vs Jovic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam in 2026 has no logical connection to winning a specific WTA Charleston semifinal match. These are entirely separate events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -36.91% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3100
Days to maturity: 214
Hurdle yield: 4.28%
Excess yield: -41.19% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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