Pair #6599

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 70447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR04PEGJOV-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Pegula vs Jovic : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-04T18:00:00Z
Volume: 14557

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.6900
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Pegula vs Jovic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is entirely separate from winning a WTA Charleston semifinal. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3100
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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