Pair #6597

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-KEY

Will Madison Keys win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Madison Keys
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 58253

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Madison Keys wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR04KEYSTA-KEY

Will Madison Keys win the Keys vs Starodubtseva : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Madison Keys
Expiration: 2026-04-04T21:10:00Z
Volume: 4748

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Madison Keys wins the Keys vs Starodubtseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is entirely separate from winning a WTA Charleston semifinal. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.8000
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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