Pair #6595

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR04PEGJOV-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Pegula vs Jovic : Semifinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-04-04T18:00:00Z
Volume: 9952

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Pegula vs Jovic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: The French Open is a completely different tournament from the WTA Charleston Semifinal. Winning the French Open has no logical connection to winning a Charleston semifinal match, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6900
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue