Pair #6594

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLMETROPOLITAN-26-PIT

Will Pittsburgh Penguins win the NHL Metropolitan Division?

Series: KXNHLMETROPOLITAN
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16352

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025-2026 NHL Metropolitan Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-PIT

Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 599

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pittsburgh Penguins wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best overall NHL record) does not require winning the Metropolitan Division, and winning the Metropolitan Division does not require having the best overall record. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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