Pair #6593

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPRES-26-PIT

Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 599

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pittsburgh Penguins wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-PIT

Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 167058

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Pittsburgh Penguins are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: If Pittsburgh wins the President's Trophy (best regular season record), they necessarily qualify for the playoffs. However, making the playoffs does not imply winning the President's Trophy. So the implication goes only one way: President's Trophy → Playoff Qualifier.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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