Pair #6592

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-PIT

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 218056

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Pittsburgh Penguins wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-PIT

Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Pittsburgh Penguins
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 599

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pittsburgh Penguins wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals and winning the President's Trophy are independent achievements. A team can win the conference without the best regular season record, and vice versa. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 22.61% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.19%
Excess yield: +18.42% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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