Pair #6586

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR02BAEDRO-DRO

Will Titouan Droguet win the Baez vs Droguet : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Titouan Droguet
Expiration: 2026-04-02T11:00:00Z
Volume: 77012

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Titouan Droguet wins the Baez vs Droguet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26APR02BAEDRO-1-DRO

Will Titouan Droguet win set 1 in the Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguet match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Titouan Droguet
Expiration: 2026-04-02T11:00:00Z
Volume: 4616

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Titouan Droguet wins set 1 in the Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:15:50Z

Reasoning: Winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match, and winning the match does not require winning set 1. No logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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