Pair #657

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-WCLA

Valspar Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5451

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4422916

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:05:49Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship. These are separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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