Pair #6561

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KVEN

Valero Texas Open: Will Kris Ventura make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kris Ventura
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 304

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kris Ventura has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-KVEN

Will Kris Ventura lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Kris Ventura
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5795

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kris Ventura is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:15:12Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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