Pair #656

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4422916

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Wyndham Clark wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-WCLA

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5365

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1100

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Rules

If Wyndham Clark wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:05:49Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four PGA Majors. Winning the Masters necessarily means winning a major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — winning a different major would not imply winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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