Pair #6546

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-SRYD

Valero Texas Open: Will Sam Ryder finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 470

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Ryder finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SRYD

Valero Texas Open: Will Sam Ryder make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3206

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Ryder has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:51Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in the overall tournament requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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