Pair #6539

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5280

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bronson Burgoon has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 423

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:29Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (determined after Round 2), and making the cut does not require being top 10 in Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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