Pair #6538

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-BBUR

Will Bronson Burgoon lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22730

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bronson Burgoon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 423

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:29Z

Reasoning: If Burgoon leads after Round 1, he must be in position 1, which is within the top 10. However, finishing top 10 does not necessitate leading (could be 2nd-10th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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