Pair #6536

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 423

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8130

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:29Z

Reasoning: Overall top 20 finish does not require top 10 in Round 1, and top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 overall finish. These are independent outcomes across different scopes.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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