Pair #6533

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 407

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9710

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:29Z

Reasoning: Round 1 top 10 does not imply finishing top 5 in the overall tournament, and finishing top 5 overall does not require being top 10 in Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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