Pair #6525

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 407

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-SYEL

Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2393

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:11Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1 (a player could shoot a very low Round 2 after a mediocre Round 1), and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee leading after Round 2. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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