Pair #6524

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 407

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 38396

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:11Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in the overall tournament does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1, and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 overall finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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