Pair #6522

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 407

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 122479

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:11Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1, and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish overall. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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