Pair #6520

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 407

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-SYEL

Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 932549

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:14:11Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require being in the top 10 after Round 1 (a player can overcome a poor first round), and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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