Pair #6509

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-VWHA

Valero Texas Open: Will Vince Whaley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 298

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-VWHA

Valero Texas Open: Will Vince Whaley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 261

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vince Whaley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:13:51Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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