Pair #6506

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Jimmy Walker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jimmy Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 230

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-JWAL

Will Jimmy Walker lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jimmy Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9328

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Walker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:13:51Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in R2), and making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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