Pair #6505

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Jimmy Walker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jimmy Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1440

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Walker finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Jimmy Walker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jimmy Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 230

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jimmy Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: A player finishing in the top 20 must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue