Pair #6500

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Danny Walker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 437

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-DWAL

Will Danny Walker lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 281

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player can lead R1 but miss the cut after R2). Making the cut does not require leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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