Pair #6499

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-DWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Danny Walker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 576

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Danny Walker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 437

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:13:36Z

Reasoning: A player finishing in the top 10 must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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