Pair #6490

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-KVIL

Will Karl Vilips lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 559

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KVIL

Valero Texas Open: Will Karl Vilips make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 534

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:13:16Z

Reasoning: The cut is made after Round 2. If Karl Vilips leads after Round 2, he has completed both rounds and is the leader, which means he has made the cut. The leader after Round 2 necessarily makes the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue