Pair #6442

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-APUT

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 288

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-APUT

Will Andrew Putnam lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 513258

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Putnam is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:12:06Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could shoot poorly in Round 2), and making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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