Pair #6441

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-APUT

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11915

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-APUT

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 288

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:12:06Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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