Pair #6440

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-APUT

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12229

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-APUT

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 288

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:12:06Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires making the cut first. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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