Pair #6438

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SPOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Seamus Power make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1134

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seamus Power has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-SPOW

Will Seamus Power lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3692

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seamus Power is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:12:06Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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