Pair #6436

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-SPOW

Will Seamus Power win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 761

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seamus Power wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SPOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Seamus Power make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1134

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seamus Power has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:12:06Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must have made the cut. Winning implies making the cut, but making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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