Pair #642

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-WCLA

Valspar Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3023

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4422916

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:05:28Z

Reasoning: These are entirely different tournaments. Finishing top 20 at the Valspar has no logical bearing on winning the Masters, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6810
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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