Pair #6415

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-PNYH

Valero Texas Open: Will Pontus Nyholm finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8582

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pontus Nyholm finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-PNYH

Valero Texas Open: Will Pontus Nyholm make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2040

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pontus Nyholm has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:11:23Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in a 72-hole PGA Tour event requires making the cut. If Nyholm finishes top 20, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue