Pair #6409

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-WMOU

Will William Mouw win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: William Mouw
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 54189

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If William Mouw wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-WMOU

Valero Texas Open: Will William Mouw make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: William Mouw
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 583

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If William Mouw has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:11:04Z

Reasoning: If Mouw wins the tournament, he must have made the cut — you cannot win a golf tournament without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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