Pair #6407

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1634

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 846

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:11:04Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (the cut is determined after Round 2), and making the cut does not require a top 5 Round 1 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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