Pair #6393

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MMCC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matthew McCarty make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matthew McCarty
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 555

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.9900

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Rules

If Matthew McCarty has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MMCC

Will Matthew McCarty win the The Masters?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matthew McCarty
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 823286

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matthew McCarty wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:10:44Z

Reasoning: Winning The Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are completely separate events at different tournaments. No logical dependency exists.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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