Pair #6391

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-MMCC

Will Matthew McCarty win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matthew McCarty
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 119042

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Matthew McCarty wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MMCC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matthew McCarty make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matthew McCarty
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 555

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matthew McCarty has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:10:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament logically requires having made the cut — you cannot win without playing the weekend rounds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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