Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KLEE
Valero Texas Open: Will Kyoung-Hoon Lee make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1494
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kyoung-Hoon Lee has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-KLEE
Will Kyoung-Hoon Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 530
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kyoung-Hoon Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:10:24Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A